Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Modena		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.11	3.19	4.15
	2.04	3.22	4.01	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.8
	2.02	3.38	3.82	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.96)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	3.89 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
46.5%

Draw
29.2%

Salernitana
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Modena - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Gagno R. (G) 25. Dellavalle A. 23. Caldara M. 33. Cauz C. 27. Idrissi R. 2. Beyuku G. 16. Gerli F. 8. Santoro S. 11. Mendes P. 10. Palumbo A. 20. Caso G.	55. Sepe L. (G) 15. Bronn D. 33. Ferrari G. M. 44. Jaroszynski P. 29. Ghiglione P. 73. Amatucci L. 8. Hrustic A. 30. Stojanovic P. 31. Verde D. 20. Wlodarczyk S. 21. Soriano R.
Substitutes
90. Abiuso F. 78. Bagheria F. (G) 5. Battistella T. 21. Bozhanaj K. 92. Defrel G. 18. Di Pardo A. 7. Duca E. 9. Gliozzi E. 6. Magnino L. 3. Ponsi F. 1. Sassi J. (G) 19. Zaro G.	24. Braaf J. 12. Corriere F. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 43. Fusco G. 2. Gentile D. 11. Kallon Y. 25. Maggiore G. 13. Ruggeri F. 9. Simy 4. Velthuis T.
Coaches
Mandelli P.	Colantuono S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
20', Idrissi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, Simy ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Soriano R. ⚽,
63', Beyuku G. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
63', Idrissi R. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,
64', Hrustic A. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Palumbo A. ⚽, Defrel G. (A),
74', Ponsi F. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
74', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
80', Soriano R. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
86', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
89', Stojanovic P. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
89', Verde D. ↓, Di Vico R. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Modena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Modena is a favorite.

There will not play in Modena: Cotali M. (Red Card) Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Dalmonte N. (Injury) Njoh L. (Injury) Tongya F. (Ankle Injury) Torregrossa E. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
30.11.24	Mantova - Modena	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Spezia - Modena	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Modena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWLT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
01.12.24	Salernitana - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Salernitana - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.05.16	Salernitana - Modena	0:0
18.12.15	Modena - Salernitana	2:0

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