Match Info

WALES: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Mold Alexandra		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	1.98
	3	3.75	1.99
	3.08	3.98	1.95	Watch
	2.75	4	2
	3.09	3.84	1.94
	3	3.75	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)	3.84 ↓ (4)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mold Alexandra
30.5%

Draw
23.6%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

22.2%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mold Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Briton Ferry Llansawel aligns with the current prediction.

Mold Alexandra - Briton Ferry Llansawel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Cordiner O. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Lawal E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 2 - 1, Gammond A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Mold Alexandra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Briton Ferry is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Briton Ferry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Briton Ferry will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
08.11.24	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Mold Alexandra - Penrhyncoch	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Mold Alexandra - Airbus UK Broughton	0:3 ✺
04.10.24	Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTW
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Barry Town United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

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