Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Old Road (Briton Ferry)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.2
	1.68	4.2	4.45
				Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	3.97 ↑ (3.5)	4.35 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
55.6%

Draw
23.2%

Aberystwyth Town
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuller W. (G) 2. Bates L. 19. Bevan R. 10. Bowen L. 22. Dyer R. 4. Gammond A. 24. Jenkins K. 23. Rickard W. 3. Sanca N. 9. Walters T. 6. Williams K.	21. Osment S. (G) 4. Bradford L. 16. Davies B. 7. Evans J. 9. Flint N. 8. Lewis I. 10. Owen J. 27. Patterson R. 19. Scotcher E. 6. Thorn J. (C) 2. Walsh L.
Substitutes
7. Brock T. 16. Davies R. 14. Demery C. 18. George R. 20. Payne J. 17. Sage E. 1. Wilson R. (G)	22. Dafis G. 28. Darlington A. 14. Davies S. 17. Huxley C. 12. Mason T. 23. Sharif A.
Coaches
Dyer A.	Corbisiero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Thorn J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bevan R. ↓, Demery C. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Williams K. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Thorn J. ⚽,
59', Bowen L. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
59', Dyer R. ↓, Sage E. ↑,
60', Rickard W. ↓, Brock T. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Evans J. ⚽,
72', Bates L. ↓, Davies R. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Payne J. ⚽,
79', Scotcher E. ↓, Sharif A. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
24.01.25	Newtown - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
11.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:6 ✺
04.01.25	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	5:1 ✺
31.12.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TWLTW
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
24.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:6 ✺
01.01.25	Haverfordwest County - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
11.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:6
02.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town	4:0
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Aberystwyth Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1

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