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Current Win Probability
Flint Town United 19.4%
Draw 22.8%
Colwyn Bay 57.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.7%
24.7%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
24.2%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Flint Town United - Colwyn Bay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flint J. (G) 3. Burke M. 2. Dean H. 19. Jonas L. 10. Malkin J. 4. McGahey H. 7. Mendes L. 23. Modi I. 5. Owen H. 9. Owolabi T. 14. Wilson C.
1. Halstead M. (G) 8. Bratley C. 9. Davies A. 11. Davies J. 23. Edwards A. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. 4. Peate N. 22. Poole D. 5. Sirrell L. 16. Williams J.
Substitutes
13. Dempsey Z. (G) 12. Francis A. 33. Lear A. 39. Marquez Y. 18. Morrison L. 6. Thorn J.
31. Bubb C. (G) 25. Efan B. 19. Hill M. 7. Kenny J. 2. Roberts D. 17. Roberts E. 10. Robles L.
Coaches
Holmes D.
Wilde M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Davies A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Forde S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Wilson C. ↓, Francis A. ↑,
65', Owolabi T. 🟨,
65', Poole D. 🟨,
69', Mendes L. 🟨,
71', Modi I. 🟨,
74', Burke M. ↓, Morrison L. ↑,
76', Hart S. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
76', Davies A. ↓, Robles L. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', Davies J. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
88', Owolabi T. ↓, Marquez Y. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint Town won 2.
In recent outings, Flint Town has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Colwyn Bay shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Colwyn Bay carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Flint Town has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Flint Town against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
United Kingdom
Wales
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Flint J. (G) 
Dean H. 
Mendes L. 
Owolabi T. 
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