Match Info

Date: 11 December 2020, Friday


	Molinos El Pirata		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.1
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.63	3.6	4.2
	1.68	3.94	4.62
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.69	3.82	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	4.27 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molinos El Pirata
54.1%

Draw
24.7%

Santos
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

19.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molinos El Pirata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molinos El Pirata's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molinos El Pirata than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molinos El Pirata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1%)

Molinos El Pirata - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 8).

Recent matches Molinos El Pirata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos FC is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Molinos El Pirata is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Molinos El Pirata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Molinos El Pirata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molinos El Pirata
Peruvian Liga 2
07.12.20	Los Chankas - Molinos El Pirata	0:3 ✺
02.12.20	Molinos El Pirata - Chavelines Juniors	1:1 ✺
26.11.20	Juan Aurich - Molinos El Pirata	0:1 ✺
18.11.20	Molinos El Pirata - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Unión Huaral - Molinos El Pirata	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLT
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
07.12.20	Santos - Unión Huaral	3:3 ✺
02.12.20	Alianza Atlético - Santos	2:1 ✺
26.11.20	Deportivo Coopsol - Santos	1:1 ✺
18.11.20	Santos - Unión Comercio	3:4 ✺
11.11.20	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Copa
24.11.18	Molinos El Pirata - Santos	4:0

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