Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Monaco		Braga

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.5
	1.46	4.5	6.75
	1.47	4.75	6.75
	1.46	4.5	6.4
	1.46	4.86	7.05
	1.47	4.4	6.5
	1.49	4.8	6.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	4.65 ↑ (3.9)	6.69 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
65.2%

Draw
20.5%

Braga
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.1%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

14.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-29%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	9.2%	13.8%

Monaco - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 109 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 84 - 77.1%). Braga will win (votes: 15 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 9.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 69.2% – 85%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg.

Monaco was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Braga was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (78%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 68, big importance 73, big match rating 70. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Monaco is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Braga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Monaco have a series of guest games.

Recently Braga have a series of home games.

In this match Monaco is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monaco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
13.03.22	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Braga - Monaco	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.03.22	Nantes - Monaco	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.22	Monaco - Reims	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
13.03.22	Braga - Gil Vicente	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Braga - Monaco	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.03.22	Boavista - Braga	1:1 ✺
28.02.22	Braga - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.02.22	Braga - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Braga - Monaco	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Braga - Monaco	0:0

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