The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nantes 20%
Draw 23.3%
Monaco 56.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
23.4%
58.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.7%
22.5%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.9%
19.4%
67.7%
Nantes - Monaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Monaco will win (votes: 21 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 53.6% – 86.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 66. Leroux L. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 80. Mwanga J. 17. Tabibou D. 11. Guirassy B. 19. El Arabi Y. 10. Abline M.
16. Kohn P. (G) 5. Kehrer T. (C) 22. Salisu M. 13. Mawissa C. 27. Diatta K. 4. Teze J. 28. Coulibaly M. 20. Ouattara K. 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 9. Balogun F.
Substitutes
90. Benhattab Y. 14. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 18. Centonze F. 3. Cozza N. 52. Deuff B. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 26. Radakovic U. 69. Ziani S.
14. Biereth M. 41. Cabral P. 31. Fati A. 10. Golovin A. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 43. Kiwa B. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 21. Michal L.
Coaches
Castro L.
Pocognoli S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Coulibaly M. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
16', Tati T. 🟨,
16', Castro L. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Guirassy B. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
25', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
34', Minamino T. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Balogun F. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
45+6', 2 - 2, Guirassy B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', 2 - 3, Akliouche M. ⚽, Ouattara K. (A),
57', Salisu M. 🟨,
62', Teze J. 🟨,
63', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
64', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Cozza N. ↑,
69', Mawissa C. ↓, Cabral P. ↑,
69', Minamino T. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
71', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
71', Guirassy B. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
73', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
75', 2 - 4, Golovin A. ⚽, Ouattara K. (A),
76', Awaziem C. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
76', Abline M. 🟨,
80', 3 - 4, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽,
81', Akliouche M. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
82', Ouattara K. 🟨,
89', Centonze F. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 5, Golovin A. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.
In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hong Hyun-Seok
(Muscle Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Inactive)
Lepenant J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Monaco: Caio Henrique
(Injury)
Camara L.
(Ankle Injury)
Dier E.
(Muscle Injury)
Hradecky L.
(Knee Injury)
Pogba P.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Vanderson
(Muscle Injury)
Zakaria D.
(Groin Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 0.9:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Monaco - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.19%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.