Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
India	GXR World
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Monaco		Reims

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.33	5.35	8.7	Watch
	1.34	5.51	9.44
	1.35	5.51	8.68	Watch
	1.3	5.5	8.5
	1.35	5.96	9.25	Watch
	1.33	5.35	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)	5.49 ↑ (4.79)	8.82 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
71.7%

Draw
17.4%

Reims
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

19.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

19.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reims might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reims could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	16.9%	4.2%

Monaco - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 52 - 77.6%). Reims will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 67.6% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majecki R. (G) 2. Vanderson 5. Kehrer T. 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 12. Caio Henrique 11. Akliouche M. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 8. Al Musrati 18. Minamino T. 14. Biereth M. 36. Embolo B.	94. Diouf Y. (G) 3. Hiroki S. 2. Okumu J. 31. Jeng M. 18. Akieme S. 30. Patrick J. 24. Gbane M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 10. Teuma T. (C) 7. Ito J. 17. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
7. Ben Seghir E. 15. Camara L. 27. Diatta K. 21. Ilenikhena G. 16. Kohn P. (G) 41. Michal L. 20. Ouattara K. 22. Salisu M. 17. Singo W.	23. Buta 67. Diakhon M. 22. Diakite O. 85. Ibrahim H. 92. Kone A. 72. Kone A. 64. Mohamed D. 20. Olliero A. (G) 86. Zabi
Coaches
Hutter A.	Diawara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Biereth M. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
39', 2 - 0, Biereth M. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jeng M. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Biereth M. ⚽,
73', Ito J. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
74', Vanderson ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
74', Minamino T. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
74', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
79', Biereth M. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
88', Al Musrati ↓, Camara L. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 1.

Monaco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reims is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reims could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Reims have a series of guest games.

In this match Monaco is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Golovin A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Kipre C. (Red Card) Kone A. (Injury) Siebatcheu J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Magassa S. (Face Injury) Teze J. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Monaco won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:20 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
22.02.25	Lille - Monaco	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.02.25	Benfica - Monaco	3:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.02.25	Monaco - Nantes	7:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Monaco - Benfica	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWLL
- Stade de Reims
Coupe De France
25.02.25	Angers - Reims	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
21.02.25	Rennes - Reims	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Reims - Angers	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Lyon - Reims	4:0 ✺
Coupe De France
06.02.25	Bourgoin-Jallieu - Reims	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
14.01.25	Reims - Monaco	2:1 penalties
French Ligue 1
14.12.24	Reims - Monaco	0:0
13.01.24	Monaco - Reims	1:3
07.10.23	Reims - Monaco	1:3
12.03.23	Monaco - Reims	0:1
18.09.22	Reims - Monaco	0:3
27.02.22	Monaco - Reims	1:2

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