Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	Braga		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.3
	3.2	3.3	2.35
	3.15	3.2	2.3
	3.32	3.26	2.38
	3.25	3.1	2.35
	3.34	3.28	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.58)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	2.34 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
29.5%

Draw
29.6%

Monaco
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

21.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Braga - Monaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Braga was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Monaco was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (68%), has a chance of semis (31%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has quality 69, importance 64, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Braga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
05.03.22	Boavista - Braga	1:1 ✺
28.02.22	Braga - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.02.22	Braga - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
20.02.22	Tondela - Braga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Braga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWWL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
06.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
02.03.22	Nantes - Monaco	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.22	Monaco - Reims	1:2 ✺
20.02.22	Bordeaux - Monaco	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Monaco - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.19	Braga - Monaco	0:0

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