Match Info

Date: 10 August 2021, Tuesday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Genk

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.4
	2.02	3.9	3.45	Watch
	1.97	3.75	3.25
	2.04	3.92	3.54
	1.88	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.88	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.73)	3.76 ↓ (3.95)	3.43 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
47.7%

Draw
25%

Genk
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhtar Donetsk's form might have worsened.

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.1%	9%	7.9%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (147 of 177 users predict this - 83.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.52% – 88.58%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Shakhtar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Genk is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shakhtar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
07.08.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Oleksandriya	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.21	Genk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
30.07.21	Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
24.07.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Inhulets	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.21	Schalke 04 - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWT
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.08.21	Kortrijk - Genk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.21	Genk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.07.21	Genk - Oostende	3:4 ✺
23.07.21	Standard Liège - Genk	1:1 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
17.07.21	Club Brugge - Genk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.08.21	Genk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2

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