The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trujillanos 21%
Draw 26.7%
Academia Puerto Cabello 52.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.6%
27.5%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
27%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Trujillanos - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lopez V. (G) 15. Rodriguez D. 4. Gnemmi E. 30. Granados J. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 88. Granados M. 22. Gonzalez K. 11. Mosquera L. 90. Linarez D. 26. Araujo A. 9. Gonzalez F.
55. Romero L. (G) 29. Vargas J. 4. Baptista F. 14. Bortagaray G. 16. Rosales R. 5. Gonzalez G. 15. Saggiomo D. 24. Contreras H. (C) 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 11. Pernia E. 19. Castillo J.
Substitutes
10. Abreu E. 25. Andara Garcia J. E. 36. Carmona J. 8. Echeverria J. 12. Garcia O. (G) 6. Gonzalez J. 18. Mendez J. 2. Morales B. 35. Nakache D. 23. Paredes J. 77. Parra G. 7. Santos C.
30. Casiani L. 41. Cova L. 31. Hernandez J. 12. Herrera E. (G) 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 44. Melendez G. 8. Moreno J. 40. Ortuno J. 28. Osorio D. 9. Ponce A.
Coaches
Contreras R.
Sarago E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Linarez D. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
57', Mosquera L. ↓, Abreu E. ↑,
59', Flores Barrios R. D. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Flores Barrios R. D. ⚽, Rosales R. (A),
69', Granados M. 🟨,
70', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
70', Pernia E. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
71', Saggiomo D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
76', Castillo J. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
77', Gonzalez G. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
82', Paredes J. 🟨,
83', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
83', Gonzalez F. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
85', Araujo A. ↓, Carmona J. ↑,
87', Contreras H. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Puerto Cabello could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Trujillanos has faced a series of away games on the road.
Puerto Cabello carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Trujillanos has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:14 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Trujillanos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).