Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)


	Leiria		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.6	8.75
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.28	4.6	8.8
	1.3	5.34	10.49
	1.28	5	9.5	Watch
	1.29	4.7	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	4.79 ↑ (4.54)	9.17 ↓ (9.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
71%

Draw
19.1%

Moncarapachense
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

20.4%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

19.2%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

The chances for Moncarapachense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Leiria - Moncarapachense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Moncarapachense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Leiria is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)

Moncarapachense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Leiria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moncarapachense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leiria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leiria is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
04.03.23	Caldas - Leiria	0:3 ✺
24.02.23	Leiria - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Leiria - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Leiria - Amora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
04.03.23	Moncarapachense - Amora	2:4 ✺
25.02.23	Belenenses - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:6 ✺
11.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Moncarapachense - Alverca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.12.22	Moncarapachense - Leiria	1:2

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