Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moncarapachense		Sertanense

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Moncarapachense
34.9%

Draw
31.5%

Sertanense
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.03.22	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Moncarapachense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Moncarapachense - Olhanense	1:1 ✺
23.02.22	Louletano - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.03.22	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
23.02.22	Praiense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Oleiros - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Sertanense - Peniche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLWW

Moncarapachense - Sertanense