Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Monterey Bay		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	2.88	3.35	2.25
	2.78	3.53	2.42
	2.43	3.46	2.71	Watch
	2.9	3.34	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.92)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	2.38 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
33.9%

Draw
27.3%

Hartford Athletic
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.1%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterey Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campuzano N. (G) 2. Gordon N. (C) 4. Lara A. 5. Guzman C. 12. Robinson G. 13. Fehr M. 6. Fonguck W. 27. Scott T. 41. Klein J. 15. Lyons M. 31. Ivanovic L.	77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 4. Scarlett J. (C) 23. Presthus O. 2. Anderson S. 16. Panayotou J. 6. Makangila B. 33. Belluz J. 92. Barry H. 81. Obalola A. 17. Jimenez J.
Substitutes
14. Gallaway P. 22. Garcia J. 11. Malango M. 3. Muir J. 25. Odle D. (G) 7. Rebollar A. 21. Sojberg A.	13. Berner J. (G) 10. Careaga S. 71. Edwards K. 15. Farrell J. 8. Moreira J. 11. Ngalina M. 5. Njie B.
Coaches
Stewart J.	Burke B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Panayotou J. ⚽, Barry H. (A),
29', Lyons M. 🟨,
34', Presthus T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Barry H. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
48', Gordon N. 🟨,
56', Ivanovic L. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
56', Fonguck W. ↓, Rebollar A. ↑,
56', Scott T. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
63', Obalola A. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
63', Jimenez J. ↓, Ngalina M. ↑,
70', Panayotou J. ↓, Moreira J. ↑,
72', Rebollar A. 🟨,
74', Makangila B. 🟨,
83', Lyons M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
84', Siaha A. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Edwards K. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
87', Presthus O. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
88', Fehr M. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Edwards K. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 4, Anderson S. ⚽, Makangila B. (A),

Preview

Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
06.09.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Monterey Bay - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTL
- Hartford Athletic
USL Cup
10.09.25	Hartford Athletic - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
USL Championship
06.09.25	Miami - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
03.09.25	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	North Carolina - Hartford Athletic	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
24.05.24	Hartford Athletic - Monterey Bay	2:1
11.03.23	Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic	5:3

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