The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacramento Republic 62.2%
Draw 22%
Las Vegas Lights 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
25.5%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
24.7%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.
Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Vegas Lights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacramento Republic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 3. Spaulding R. 27. Crisostomo D. 24. Casas J. 19. Midence A. 8. Rodriguez M. 16. Wolff T. 26. Jennings C.
1. Henry T. (G) 6. Sessock N. 30. Ofeimu B. 3. Jones N. 45. Pope B. 27. Probo G. 23. Ybarra M. 18. Locker C. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 14. Rodriguez J. 25. Anderson O.
Substitutes
11. Ajago F. 22. Benitez M. 71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 6. Kleemann F. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 20. Willey B.
81. Antonoglou T. 9. Arteaga M. 33. Guillen A. 13. Lanphier C. (G) 17. Leal P. 8. Scott K. 20. Smart S.
Coaches
Collins N.
Rensing D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽, Pinzon C. (A),
35', Anderson O. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Crisostomo D. (A),
38', Jennings C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Locker C. ⚽, Pinzon C. (A),
56', Pinzon C. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Wolff T. ⚽,
58', Rodriguez M. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Probo G. 🟨,
68', Spaulding R. ↓, Kleemann F. ↑,
69', Jennings C. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
73', Ybarra M. 🟨,
74', Casas J. 🟨,
77', Ybarra M. ↓, Scott K. ↑,
77', Pope B. ↓, Antonoglou T. ↑,
77', Casas J. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
78', Anderson O. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Edwards K. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
86', Midence A. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
86', Locker C. ↓, Leal P. ↑,
87', Wolff T. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+2', Edwards K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 3.
Sacramento Republic is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Las Vegas is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Las Vegas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Sacramento Republic for this game.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Sacramento Republic has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:18 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sacramento Republic against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:4 goals (averaging 2:0.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sacramento Republic - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 53.19%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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Vitiello D. (G) 
Gurr J. 
Desmond L. (C) 
Casas J. 
Midence A. 
Henry T. (G) 
Probo G. 
Pinzon C. (C) 
Anderson O. 
Ajago F. 
Arteaga M. 
Collins N. 
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