Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Monterrey		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	3	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.4
	2.45	3.5	2.62	Watch
	2.25	3.65	3.16
	2.18	3.68	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.62
	2.45	3.52	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)	3.54 ↓ (3.54)	2.78 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
40.1%

Draw
26.4%

Cincinnati
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Monterrey - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Monterrey (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cardenas L. (G) 33. Medina S. 4. Guzman V. 93. Ramos S. 3. Arteaga G. 17. Corona J. 14. Aguirre E. 5. Ambriz F. 8. Torres O. 10. Canales S. 7. Berterame G.	13. Louro E. (G) 91. Yedlin D. 12. Robinson M. 21. Miazga M. 29. Engel L. 22. Valenzuela G. 20. Bucha P. 27. Anunga T. 23. Orellano L. 10. Evander 17. Sergio Santos
Substitutes
11. Alvarado A. 2. Chavez R. 19. Cortizo J. 35. Fimbres I. 25. Mele S. (G) 15. Moreno H. 192. Moxica J. 29. Ocampos L. 183. Perez S. 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J. 23. Sanchez L.	11. Baird C. 30. Crockford N. (G) 66. Echenique E. 3. Flores G. 16. Hadebe T. 4. Hagglund N. 37. Jimenez S. 85. Kamara K. 1. Kann A. (G) 35. Mboma K. 2. Powell A. 14. Smith B.
Coaches
Torrent D.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
33', Arteaga G. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Canales S. ⚽, Medina S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Orellano L. ⚽, Evander (A),
67', Medina S. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
74', Ambriz F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
76', Valenzuela G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
79', Miazga M. 🟨,
85', Orellano L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
87', Ocampos L. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Bucha P. ⚽, Evander (A),
90+4', 2 - 3, Berterame G. ⚽, Moxica J. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cincinnati is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Monterrey has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Monterrey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Monterrey - Atlas	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	Atlético San Luis - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Pachuca - Monterrey	3:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
01.07.25	Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
26.07.25	Inter Miami - Cincinnati	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
16.07.25	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:4 ✺
05.07.25	Cincinnati - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.03.24	Monterrey - Cincinnati	2:1
07.03.24	Cincinnati - Monterrey	0:1

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