Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: America First Field (Sandy, UT)

Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Real Salt Lake		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.2
	2.08	3.7	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.57	3.86
	2.70	2.57	3.28	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.09	3.61	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.54)	3.42 ↑ (3.34)	3.4 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
44.1%

Draw
27.9%

Cincinnati
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cincinnati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Salt Lake (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Cabral (G) 92. Caliskan N. 15. Glad J. 4. Vera B. 98. Katranis A. 10. Goncalves D. 6. Ojeda B. 7. Ruiz P. 8. Luna D. 23. Piol A. 72. Gozo Z.	18. Celentano R. (G) 2. Powell A. 3. Flores G. 12. Robinson M. 16. Hadebe T. 29. Engel L. 10. Evander 27. Anunga T. 20. Bucha P. 11. Baird C. 22. Valenzuela G.
Substitutes
9. Agada W. 36. Barea J. 14. Eneli E. 19. Hidalgo B. 29. Junqua S. 11. Marczuk D. 26. Quinton P. 77. Russell J. 31. Stajduhar M. (G)	19. Chirila S. 85. Kamara K. 13. Louro E. (G) 35. Mboma K. 21. Miazga M. 23. Orellano L. 17. Sergio Santos 14. Smith B. 91. Yedlin D.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Baird C. 🟨,
27', Hadebe T. 🟨,
31', Katranis A. 🟨,
39', Vera B. 🟨,
42', Flores G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Katranis A. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
62', Piol A. ↓, Agada W. ↑,
62', Ruiz P. ↓, Eneli E. ↑,
63', Valenzuela G. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
63', Baird C. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
63', Powell A. ↓, Yedlin D. ↑,
71', Gozo Z. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
73', Yedlin D. 🟨,
74', Hadebe T. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
85', Engel L. ↓, Miazga M. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Orellano L. ⚽, Anunga T. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Salt Lake has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cincinnati is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Salt Lake might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Yedlin D. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Salt Lake won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
16.07.25	Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Real Salt Lake - DC United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWTW
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
16.07.25	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:4 ✺
05.07.25	Cincinnati - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Orlando City - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
17.09.22	Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati	1:2
19.04.19	Cincinnati - Real Salt Lake	0:3

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