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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 37.9%
Draw 26.7%
Chicago Fire 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
26.2%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
27.3%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Cincinnati - Chicago Fire Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
18. Celentano R. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 12. Robinson M. (C) 3. Flores G. 66. Echenique E. 20. Bucha P. 10. Evander 11. Gidi S. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 17. Mboma K. 16. Barlow T.
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 3. Elliott J. (C) 4. Mbokazi M. 15. Gutman A. 11. Zinckernagel P. 6. Saletros A. 42. D'Avilla D. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 17. Lod R. 9. Cuypers H.
Substitutes
27. Anunga T. 15. Hadebe T. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 2. Powell A. 24. Smith K. 22. Valenzuela G.
27. Borso D. 44. Cohen J. (G) 12. Dithejane P. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D. 14. Radojevic V. 20. Shokalook J. 16. Waterman J.
Coaches
Noonan P.
Barcena M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Gidi S. 🟨,
11', Barlow T. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Cuypers H. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A), Elliott J. (A2)
42', 1 - 1, Barlow T. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 2, Zinckernagel P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Flores G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
48', 1 - 3, Cuypers H. ⚽,
64', Robinson M. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
70', Barlow T. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
70', Echenique E. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
73', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Waterman J. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Evander (Penalty Awarded),
83', Dean J. ↓, Borso D. ↑,
83', Lod R. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
86', Mboma K. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, D'Avilla D. (Own goal),
90', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
90', Borso D. 🟨,
90', Bucha P. 🟨,
90+4', Haile-Selassie M. ↓, Radojevic V. ↑,
90+9', Mbokazi M. 🟨,
90+9', Elliott J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4.
Cincinnati is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Cincinnati: Chirila S.
(Leg Injury)
Denkey K.
(Red Card)
Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Chicago: Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Robinson M.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Injury)
Cuypers H.
(Head Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.13%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
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Celentano R. (G) 
Flores G. 
Echenique E. 
Bucha P. 
Evander 
Gidi S. 
Ramirez Leon B. J. 
Mboma K. 
Elliott J. (C) 
Mbokazi M. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Saletros A. 
D'Avilla D. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
Lod R. 
Cuypers H. 
Anunga T. 
Hadebe T. 
Jabbari A. 
Powell A. 
Poreba D. 
Radojevic V. 
Waterman J. 
Barcena M. 
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