Match Info

Date: 9 October 2021, Saturday


	Montevarchi		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.65	2.25
	3.4	3.15	2
	3.25	3	2.15
	3.44	2.92	2.18
	3.5	3	2.15
	3.28	3.08	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
27%

Draw
30.7%

Modena
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.3%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.5%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevarchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montevarchi - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Montevarchi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Modena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Modena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.21	Carrarese - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
28.09.21	Montevarchi - Siena	0:3 ✺
25.09.21	Pontedera - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Montevarchi - Pescara	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Fermana - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLLW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.21	Modena - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
28.09.21	Cesena - Modena	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Modena - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Fermana - Modena	0:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.09.21	Modena - Imolese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

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