Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)


	Montevideo Wanderers		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.44
	2.35	3.1	3.44
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.19	3.28	3.24	Watch
	2.17	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
42.2%

Draw
29.4%

Rampla Juniors
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. da Silva J. (G) 6. Morales L. 13. Formiliano F. 23. Garcia E. (C) 27. Bontempo L. 5. Freitas G. 16. Alberti J. 7. Vega D. 19. Viudez T. 21. Rolon K. 14. Milan F.	12. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 24. Gorga S. (C) 33. Camargo G. 14. Rosa D. 18. Adoryan T. 26. Nunez M. 16. Almeida E. 11. Royon N. 22. Dibble N.
Substitutes
11. Albarracin A. 20. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 3. Garcia I. 26. Guzman S. 12. Lopez E. (G) 24. Otormin L. 4. Risso M. 17. Suarez M. 8. Veglio B.	23. Anasco M. 19. Burruzo M. 28. Casuriaga F. 4. de Leon G. 1. Freitas A. (G) 5. Mendez I. 13. Mozzone E. 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J. 9. Vargas D.
Coaches
Pacheco A.	Martinez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Freitas G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Viudez T. ↓, Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↑,
47', Nunez M. 🟨,
67', Camargo G. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
67', Dibble N. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
68', Formiliano F. 🟨,
69', Milan F. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
69', Freitas G. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
79', Almeida E. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
79', Alberti J. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
79', Vega D. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Nunez M. (Pen),
89', Rosa D. ↓, de Leon G. ↑,
90+3', Samurio A. 🟨,
90+3', Anasco M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Rolon K. ⚽,
90+5', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 🟨,
90+11', Centurion L. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.05.24	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWT
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Rampla Juniors - Boston River	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
20.10.19	Rampla Juniors - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1
18.08.19	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	4:3
31.03.19	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	1:0
01.09.18	Rampla Juniors - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
19.05.18	Rampla Juniors - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3
17.03.18	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	1:1
19.11.17	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	1:0

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