Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Referee: Motta S. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Star+
North-central-america	Star+ Norte
Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play
Uruguay	VTV+


	Danubio		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.6
	2	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.33	3.87
	2.08	3.33	3.87
	1.91	3.3	3.6
	2.02	3.27	3.73	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)	3.29 ↓ (3.41)	3.7 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
46.4%

Draw
28.4%

Rampla Juniors
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Danubio - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Danubio: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rio J. (G) 4. Ancheta E. 23. Gonzalez M. 20. Ferreira L. 3. Fracchia M. 34. Lewis K. 19. Romero S. 16. Peralta M. 13. Novick H. 11. Rossi N. 30. Fernandez S.	12. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 24. Gorga S. 33. Camargo G. 18. Adoryan T. 5. Mendez I. 14. Rosa D. 16. Almeida E. 22. Dibble N. 11. Royon N.
Substitutes
27. Arguello M. 14. Brazionis 18. Bueno G. 33. Leyes G. 32. Martinez K. (G) 10. Monzeglio M. 15. Nunez R. 7. Pintos I. 26. Piriz D. 8. Tizon C.	7. Anasco M. 19. Burruzo M. 28. Casuriaga F. 8. Gabriel G. 4. Graces A. 13. Mozzone E. 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J. 9. Vargas D. 25. Vera M. (G)
Coaches
Apud A.	Martinez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Novick H. ⚽,
45', Rosa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rosa D. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
46', Mendez I. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
59', Camargo G. ↓, Casuriaga F. ↑,
59', Dibble N. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
61', Gorga S. 🟨,
68', Rossi N. ↓, Monzeglio M. ↑,
79', Novick H. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
79', Fernandez S. ↓, Leyes G. ↑,
80', Peralta M. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
82', Almeida E. ↓, Burruzo M. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Nunez R. ⚽,
87', Adoryan T. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1.

Danubio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rampla Juniors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Danubio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Danubio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Danubio won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.06.24	Cerro Largo - Danubio	2:2 ✺
03.06.24	Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.05.24	Danubio - Rayo Zuliano	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Danubio	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLL
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.06.24	Rampla Juniors - Boston River	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Rampla Juniors - Boston River	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	1:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.10.21	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	2:0
15.07.21	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.11.19	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	1:1
20.04.19	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0
21.10.18	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0
30.05.18	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	4:1

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