Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Parque Federico Omar Saroldi (Montevideo)

Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)


	River Plate Montevideo		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.17	3.27	3.66
	2.17	3.27	3.66
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.08	3.33	3.47	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
44.4%

Draw
28.7%

Rampla Juniors
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Irrazabal Y. (G) 3. Rodriguez N. 4. Salaberry H. (C) 13. Almeida C. 27. Baez J. 18. Barrios G. 8. Cristobal R. 6. Fernandez R. 11. De Los Santos J. 19. Barone F. 7. Lavega J.	12. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 24. Gorga S. 8. Gabriel G. 16. Almeida E. 18. Adoryan T. 26. Nunez M. 14. Rosa D. 22. Dibble N. 11. Royon N.
Substitutes
22. Alfonso M. 17. Amoroso V. 23. Barboza J. 16. Campos N. 25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 20. Diaz S. 5. Galletto T. 30. Gonzalez F. 2. Perez F. 10. Vera A.	23. Anasco M. 19. Burruzo M. 28. Casuriaga F. 15. Graces A. 21. Leites A. 13. Mozzone E. 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J. 9. Vargas D. 25. Vera M. (G)
Coaches
Ithurralde I.	Martinez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Royon N. ⚽,
17', Dibble N. 🟨,
19', 0 - 2, Dibble N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez N. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
46', Fernandez R. ↓, Amoroso V. ↑,
48', Vera A. 🟨,
54', De Los Santos J. 🟨,
61', Rosa D. ↓, Casuriaga F. ↑,
63', Baez J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
80', De Los Santos J. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
81', Almeida E. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
81', Adoryan T. 🟨,
83', Gabriel G. 🟨,
84', Royon N. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
84', Dibble N. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
84', Adoryan T. ↓, Tamareo L. ↑,
88', Amoroso V. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rampla Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

River Plate will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches River Plate won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
14.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.05.24	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:3 ✺
29.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTLL
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.05.24	Rampla Juniors - Boston River	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Rampla Juniors - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.11.19	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	2:2
18.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1
26.08.18	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:4
11.03.18	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
23.09.17	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:1
11.03.17	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	3:0
13.11.16	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	0:2

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