Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 33

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Montpellier		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.2	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.8	4.35	Watch
	1.72	4.24	4.6
	1.67	4.19	4.42	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.33
	1.65	4.2	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)	3.95 ↑ (3.74)	4.39 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
55.2%

Draw
23.6%

Clermont
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	5%	10%

Montpellier - Clermont Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. (C) 23. Mouanga Y. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 44. Chennahi T. 10. Fayad K. 18. Pays N. 7. Mbuku N. 14. Molebe E. 19. Mendy A.	30. Guivarch T. (G) 93. Coulibaly I. 21. Salmier Y. 4. Sow S. 38. Kone E. H. 10. Saivet H. 7. Camblan A. 2. Baallal A. 23. Hunou A. 29. Fakili I. 18. Diedhiou F. (C)
Substitutes
3. El Hannach N. 8. Issoufou Y. 6. Jullien C. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 1. Michel M. (G) 21. Mincarelli L. 11. Savanier T.	32. Bamba K. 77. Cantero E. 11. Douane M. 25. Gastien J. 28. M'Bahia I. 16. N'Diaye M. (G) 39. Tourraine M.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Proment G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', Fayad K. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Mendy A. ⚽, Tchato E. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Salmier Y. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Hunou A. ⚽, Coulibaly I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kone E. H. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
51', Fayad K. 🟨,
56', Molebe E. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
60', Hunou A. 🟨,
62', Mendy A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Hunou A. ↓, Bamba K. ↑,
77', Mbuku N. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
86', Fakili I. ↓, Gastien J. ↑,
87', Tourraine M. 🟨,
90+1', Camblan A. ↓, M'Bahia I. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 1.

Montpellier is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Clermont has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Montpellier is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Clermont: Ackra A. (Red Card) Astic J. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Nsimba V. (Inactive) Tourraine M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Clermont: Camblan A. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46% Clermont: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Clermont - the odds 4.27 are the expected chance of winning is 21.89%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
24.04.26	Amiens - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Montpellier - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Annecy - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Montpellier - Troyes	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Pau - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTTT
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
24.04.26	Clermont - Bastia	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Le Mans - Clermont	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Clermont - Nancy	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Grenoble - Clermont	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Clermont - Le Puy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1
French Ligue 1
14.04.24	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1
29.11.23	Montpellier - Clermont	1:1
19.03.23	Montpellier - Clermont	2:1
06.11.22	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Montpellier - Clermont	0:2
French Ligue 1
08.05.22	Clermont - Montpellier	2:1

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