Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	14:00	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Canada	08:00	beIN Connect
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	15:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	Viaplay
Finland	15:00	Viaplay
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Israel	15:00	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	14:00	Viaplay
Norway	14:00	Viaplay
Slovakia	14:00	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Sweden	14:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	14:00	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	08:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Montpellier		Troyes

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.2	Watch
	2.92	3.35	2.28	Watch
	3.07	3.44	2.37
	2.85	3.44	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.98	3.46	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.73)	3.36 ↑ (3.22)	2.31 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
31.9%

Draw
27.8%

Troyes
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Montpellier - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 8% – 64.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. (C) 23. Mouanga Y. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 44. Chennahi T. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 18. Pays N. 10. Fayad K. 14. Molebe E. 19. Mendy A.	40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 38. Diawara S. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 29. Diawara K. 17. Mille A. 5. Adeline M. 11. Detourbet M. 21. Bentayeb T.
Substitutes
3. El Hannach N. 22. Gueguin A. 20. Homssa N. 8. Issoufou Y. 1. Michel M. (G) 21. Mincarelli L. 40. Vidal-Cartoux N.	9. El Idrissy M. 23. Gambor H. 10. Ifnaoui M. 33. Nkoumouck M. (G) 3. Ouzenadji A. 26. Phliponeau A. 20. Ripart R.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Adeline M. ⚽, Bentayeb T. (A),
4', 1 - 1, Chennahi T. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
40', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
45+1', Diawara S. 🟨,
45+2', Mendy A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 2 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
66', Molebe E. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
71', Fayad K. ↓, Gueguin A. ↑,
77', Mendy A. 🟨,
78', Maronnier L. 🟨,
80', Diop M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
80', Diawara K. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
90+1', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
90+1', Detourbet M. ↓, Ifnaoui M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.

Recent performances by Montpellier have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Troyes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Montpellier: Jullien C. (Red Card) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Savanier T. (Calf Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Troyes: Boucher Z. (Inactive) Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Ifnaoui M. (Hamstring Injury) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury) Phliponeau A. (Hamstring Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Pays N. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Boura I. (Hamstring Injury) Maronnier L. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montpellier	10	6	3	1	13:6	7	21

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 7.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
20.03.26	Pau - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Montpellier - Laval	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Nancy - Montpellier	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	Montpellier - Reims	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Rodez - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWTL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
21.03.26	Troyes - Dunkerque	5:1 ✺
16.03.26	Annecy - Troyes	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Troyes - Clermont	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Amiens - Troyes	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Troyes - Pau	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.08.25	Troyes - Montpellier	1:0
French Ligue 1
19.02.23	Troyes - Montpellier	0:1
07.08.22	Montpellier - Troyes	3:2
19.01.22	Montpellier - Troyes	0:1
19.09.21	Troyes - Montpellier	1:1
12.05.18	Montpellier - Troyes	1:1
16.09.17	Troyes - Montpellier	0:1

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