Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Amiens		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.9
	3.77	3.84	1.97
	3.72	3.54	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	3.79	3.8	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.13)	3.65 ↓ (3.91)	1.91 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
25.4%

Draw
25.6%

Montpellier
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

23.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

22.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	18.2%	81.8%

Amiens - Montpellier Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sauvage A. (G) 11. Averlant T. 39. Chabane A. 28. Lo A. 20. Kaiboue K. 14. Leautey A. 45. Fofana I. 6. Monconduit T. (C) 7. Hamache I. 10. Kandil N. 90. Ntamack S.	31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. (C) 23. Mouanga Y. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 44. Chennahi T. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 18. Pays N. 22. Gueguin A. 14. Molebe E. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
46. Aissat O. 80. Alvero S. 34. Bakayoko S. 40. Bernardoni P. (G) 44. Louis C. 27. Lutin R. 15. Nduquidi J.	10. Fayad K. 8. Issoufou Y. 6. Jullien C. 7. Mbuku N. 1. Michel M. (G) 21. Mincarelli L. 11. Savanier T.
Coaches
Pochat A.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Gueguin A. ⚽, Tchato E. (A),
45+3', Averlant T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Molebe E. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
68', Kandil N. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
69', Averlant T. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
76', Pays N. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
76', Gueguin A. ↓, Jullien C. ↑,
77', Lo A. ↓, Bakayoko S. ↑,
77', Kaiboue K. ↓, Alvero S. ↑,
80', Monconduit T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0.

Amiens is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Montpellier is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montpellier is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Louis C. (Injury) Mlakar J. (Inactive) Roussillon J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Montpellier: Mouanga Y. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Amiens: Sane I. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
17.04.26	Rodez - Amiens	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Amiens - Pau	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bastia - Amiens	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Amiens - Le Mans	3:4 ✺
13.03.26	Guingamp - Amiens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
17.04.26	Montpellier - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Annecy - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Montpellier - Troyes	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Pau - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Montpellier - Laval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
29.08.25	Montpellier - Amiens	1:1
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Amiens - Montpellier	1:2
French Ligue 1
11.01.20	Amiens - Montpellier	1:2
30.11.19	Montpellier - Amiens	4:2
05.05.19	Montpellier - Amiens	1:1
18.08.18	Amiens - Montpellier	1:2
17.01.18	Amiens - Montpellier	1:1

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