Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	ZhiBo8
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	TVC Deportes 2
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Nice		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	4	Watch
	1.78	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.81	3.94	4.54
	1.78	3.91	4.24	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.2
	1.75	3.78	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)	3.85 ↓ (4.03)	4.27 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nice
53.3%

Draw
24.5%

Montpellier
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Nice - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 60%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Montpellier (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 50%). Montpellier (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diouf Y. (G) 2. Peprah K. 4. Bah J. 3. Mantsounga B. 5. Mendy A. 8. Abdul Samed S. 6. Vanhoutte C. (C) 7. Jansson I. 11. Louchet T. 9. Diallo Z. 10. Bernardeau G.	1. Michel M. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 5. Laporte J. 6. Jullien C. 2. Mincarelli L. 8. Omeragic B. (C) 4. Sainte-Luce T. 10. Pays N. 11. Savanier T. 7. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 9. Mendy A.
Substitutes
15. Abdi A. 18. Boudache K. 12. Clauss J. 17. Diop S. 16. Dupe M. (G) 14. Ndombele T. 13. Pereira E. 20. Sanson M. 19. Wahi E.	13. Chennahi T. 15. Fayad K. 14. Homssa N. 18. Issoufou Y. 17. Mbuku N. 20. Molebe E. 16. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 12. Sishuba A. 19. Tchato E.
Coaches
Puel C.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Peprah K. (Own goal),
32', Mincarelli L. 🟨,
44', Savanier T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Mantsounga B. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
46', Peprah K. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
46', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
64', El Hannach N. ↓, Tchato E. ↑,
64', Diallo Z. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
64', Savanier T. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
64', Jansson I. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Mendy A. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Boudache K. ⚽, Wahi E. (A),
82', Omeragic B. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Mendy A. ⚽,
90+2', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
90+4', Laporte J. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 2, Diop S. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nice is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Nice - Brest	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Nice	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Toulouse - Nice	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWL
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Montpellier - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Bastia - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Boulogne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Metz - Montpellier	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.01.26	Montpellier - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.02.25	Nice - Montpellier	2:0
15.12.24	Montpellier - Nice	2:2
08.03.24	Nice - Montpellier	1:2
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Montpellier - Nice	1:4
French Ligue 1
10.11.23	Montpellier - Nice	0:0
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Nice - Montpellier	1:0
French Ligue 1
27.05.23	Montpellier - Nice	2:3

Upcoming Matches