The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 53.9%
Draw 27.6%
Alessandria 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
25.5%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
15.8%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
59.3%
22.2%
18.5%
Perugia - Alessandria Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Alessandria will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 40.8% โ 77.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Perugia has the most likely position - 14 (7.61%), has project points - 49, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 20 (24.76%), has project points - 35, has currently - 0, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Perugia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Perugia is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Watch
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