Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Match 4
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Israel	16:00	Sport 2
Italy	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Primavera TV
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Lecce		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.63
	2.80	2.95	2.75
	2.9	3.15	2.52	Watch
	2.99	3.07	2.78
	2.81	3.05	2.75	Watch
	2.95	3	2.65
	2.9	3.13	2.65
	2.9	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.29)	3.07 ↓ (3.21)	2.69 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lecce
33.1%

Draw
31.2%

Monza
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lecce's form might have worsened.

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	33.3%	26.7%

Lecce - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Monza will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lecce (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 14. Maleh Y. 20. Ilic I. 11. Ndri K. 9. Stulic N. 99. Monteiro J.	20. Thiam D. (G) 60. Kouadio E. 3. Lucchesi L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Mangas R. 28. Colpani A. 46. Robinson J. 9. Varela G.
Substitutes
1. Bleve M. (G) 32. Borbei A. (G) 2. Dembele A. 22. Esteban P. 7. Fatah A. 8. Fofana S. 4. Gaspar K. 28. Gorter O. 18. Jean G. 77. Kaba M. 3. Ndaba C. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 31. Scott E.	6. Antov V. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 10. Cutrone P. 11. Forson O. 2. Goglichidze S. 5. Maye Y. 47. Mota D. 80. Mout M. 8. Ondoa F. 43. Strajnar A. (G) 1. Tornqvist N. (G) 22. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Coulibaly L. ⚽, Ilic I. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Tiago Gabriel ⚽, Ilic I. (A),
20', 2 - 1, Mangas R. ⚽, Birindelli S. (A),
21', 3 - 1, Coulibaly L. ⚽, Veiga D. (A),
38', Ndri K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mangas R. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
46', Ndri K. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
64', Robinson J. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
64', Colpani A. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
66', Ilic I. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
74', Monteiro J. ↓, Fatah A. ↑,
74', Stulic N. ↓, Esteban P. ↑,
75', Varela G. ↓, Forson O. ↑,
84', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Mout M. ↑,
85', Maleh Y. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Zeballos E. ⚽,
90', Veiga D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.

Lecce is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Rest) Geubbels W. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Contusion) Ziolkowski J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Ciurria P. (Inactive) Ngonge C. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10:19	-9	9
16	Monza	9	2	1	6	16:22	-6	7

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Monza: 0.04% Lecce: 0.02%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Lecce - Roma	0:4 ✺
23.08.26	Venezia - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Palermo - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lecce - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Monza - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.02.25	Monza - Lecce	0:0
15.12.24	Lecce - Monza	2:1
27.04.24	Lecce - Monza	1:1
17.09.23	Monza - Lecce	1:1
28.05.23	Monza - Lecce	0:1
11.09.22	Lecce - Monza	1:1
Italian Serie B
27.02.22	Monza - Lecce	0:1

Upcoming Matches