Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Parma		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.8
	2.75	2.90	2.85
	2.85	2.85	2.75	Watch
	2.99	2.93	2.9
	2.85	2.9	2.85	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.85
	2.94	2.94	2.86
	2.9	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.03)	2.91 ↓ (3.26)	2.84 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
33.3%

Draw
33%

Monza
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parma's form might have worsened.

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Parma - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Monza will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 2 - 50%). Monza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Monza (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 2 - 40%). Monza (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Delprato E. (C) 37. Troilo M. 34. Diego Carlos 27. Britschgi S. 32. Ordonez C. 16. Keita M. 80. Fabbian G. 14. Valeri E. 9. Romero D. 19. Toure E. B.	20. Thiam D. (G) 60. Kouadio E. 3. Lucchesi L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Mangas R. 11. Forson O. 46. Robinson J. 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 29. Carboni F. 8. Cremaschi B. 30. Daffara G. (G) 25. De Martis T. 72. Drobnic D. 23. Elphege N. 20. Frigan M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 47. Konate A. 76. Lontani S. 3. Ndiaye A. 4. Sierro V. 5. Valenti L.	6. Antov V. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 2. Goglichidze S. 5. Maye Y. 80. Mout M. 8. Ondoa F. 43. Strajnar A. (G) 1. Tornqvist N. (G)
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Robinson J. ⚽, Mangas R. (A),
42', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diego Carlos ↓, Valenti L. ↑,
46', Ordonez C. ↓, Sierro V. ↑,
46', Fabbian G. ↓, Frigan M. ↑,
54', Forson O. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
55', Romero D. ↓, Lontani S. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Lontani S. ⚽,
62', Mota D. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
66', Keita M. 🟨,
68', Colombo L. 🟨,
77', Britschgi S. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
81', Kouadio E. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
81', Carboni A. ↓, Maye Y. ↑,
81', Robinson J. ↓, Mout M. ↑,
83', Almqvist P. 🟨,

Preview

Parma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Parma has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Nicolussi Caviglia H. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Varela G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Bernabe A. (Inactive) Diallo O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Ciurria P. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Parma: 0.2% Monza: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Parma - Catania	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Parma - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWT
- Monza 1912
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Monza - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.26	Monza - Aris	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.03.25	Monza - Parma	1:1
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1
Italian Serie B
02.03.22	Monza - Parma	1:1
17.10.21	Parma - Monza	0:0

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