Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports 2
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	DAZN, MTV Urheilu 2
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Israel	16:00	Sport 2
Italy	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football, Astro Go
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Lazio		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.90	5.25
	1.68	3.90	4.80
	1.63	3.85	5.00	Watch
	1.71	3.95	5.53
	1.71	3.9	4.83	Watch
	1.66	3.90	5.30
	1.69	3.83	5.31
	1.68	4.00	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.56)	3.9 ↓ (4.11)	5.15 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
57%

Draw
24.5%

Monza
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

23.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	4.3%	0%

Lazio - Monza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Lazio (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lazio (1.75) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Mandas C. (G) 15. Floriani R. 5. Doekhi D. 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 16. Frattesi D. 21. Belahyane R. 24. Taylor K. 11. Isaksen G. 14. Noslin T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	1. Tornqvist N. (G) 60. Kouadio E. 3. Lucchesi L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Mangas R. 16. Ngonge C. 22. Zeballos E. 9. Varela G.
Substitutes
32. Cataldi D. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 71. Farcomeni V. 29. Lazzari M. 2. Leite D. 40. Motta E. (G) 23. Pedraza A. 9. Pinamonti A. 28. Przyborek A. 47. Renzetti D. (G) 63. Serra F. 37. Sutalo J.	6. Antov V. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 10. Cutrone P. 2. Goglichidze S. 5. Maye Y. 47. Mota D. 80. Mout M. 8. Ondoa F. 46. Robinson J. 43. Strajnar A. (G) 20. Thiam D. (G)
Coaches
Gattuso G.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Tavares N. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
13', Carboni A. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Isaksen G. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
35', Lucchesi L. 🟥,
37', Ngonge C. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
45+2', Doekhi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carboni A. ↓, Maye Y. ↑,
46', Zeballos E. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Goglichidze S. ⚽, Mota D. (A),
46', Folorunsho M. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
53', Doekhi D. ↓, Leite D. ↑,
55', Provstgaard O. 🟨,
60', Frattesi D. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
60', Provstgaard O. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
68', Leite D. 🟨,
70', Mangas R. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
75', Tavares N. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
75', Noslin T. ↓, Pinamonti A. ↑,
79', Juric I. 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3.

Lazio has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Monza has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lazio may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Lazio carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Lazio: Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Shoulder Injury) Marusic A. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrini Lu. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Lazio: Cataldi D. (Groin Injury) Rovella N. (Calf Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Monza: Toure I. (Contusion) Ziolkowski J. (Foot Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Lazio in today's match, at odds of 1.62.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Lazio has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:4 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lazio against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	15	25
16	Monza	9	2	1	6	16:22	-6	7

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 5.06% Monza: 0.11%

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.99%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Lazio - Juve Stabia	3:3
27.09.26	Lazio - Arezzo	2:0
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Venezia - Lazio	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Lazio - Milan	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Udinese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWTW
- Monza 1912
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Brest - Monza	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Monza - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.09.26	Monza - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.02.25	Lazio - Monza	5:1
10.11.24	Monza - Lazio	0:1
04.05.24	Monza - Lazio	2:2
23.09.23	Lazio - Monza	1:1
02.04.23	Monza - Lazio	0:2
10.11.22	Lazio - Monza	1:0

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