Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App, ZAP
Angola	20:45	Z Sport 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	CBC Sport
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	TLN, VIVA
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	20:45	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Match 4, Net4+
India	01:15	GXR World
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	00:45	ICE Sports
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Montenegro	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	00:45	Futbol TV
Tanzania	22:45	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	22:45	S Sport+
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	19:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	19:45	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Monza		Juventus

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.6	1.62	Watch
	6.25	3.6	1.6
	6.3	3.65	1.6	Watch
	6.9	3.75	1.62
	7.11	3.63	1.62	Watch
	6	3.6	1.62
	6.68	3.73	1.67	Watch
	6.5	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.53 ↑ (5.13)	3.66 ↑ (3.54)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
14.7%

Draw
26.2%

Juventus
59.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

26.2%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	9.7%	83.9%

Monza - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (76 of 90 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.95% – 91.93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 22. Mari P. (C) 44. Carboni A. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 38. Bondo W. 42. Bianco A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 19. Birindelli S. 10. Caprari G. 47. Mota D.	29. Di Gregorio M. (G) 37. Savona N. 4. Gatti F. 15. Kalulu P. 16. McKennie W. 8. Koopmeiners T. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 11. Gonzalez N. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
84. Ciurria P. 57. Colombo L. 20. Forson O. 4. Izzo A. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 12. Sensi S.	17. Adzic V. 27. Cambiaso A. 21. Fagioli N. 51. Mbangula S. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 19. Thuram K.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Motta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, McKennie W. ⚽, Koopmeiners T. (A),
15', Pereira P. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Birindelli S. ⚽, Carboni A. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Gonzalez N. ⚽, Locatelli M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Thuram K. ↑,
57', Conceicao F. 🟨,
64', Gonzalez N. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
71', Pereira P. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
83', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Izzo A. ↑,
85', Vlahovic D. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
85', Conceicao F. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
86', Caprari G. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
86', Birindelli S. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
90+1', McKennie W. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 2.

Monza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventus is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Monza have a series of guest games.

Recently Juventus have a series of home games.

In this match Juventus is a favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Maldini D. (Yellow Cards) Pessina M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Arthur Melo (Injury) Bremer (Knee Injury) Cabal J. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Weah T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Injury) Djuric M. (Muscle Injury) Petagna A. (Injury) Vignato S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Cambiaso A. (Ankle Injury) Danilo (Ankle Injury) Douglas Luiz (Injury) Rouhi J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Monza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
15.12.24	Lecce - Monza	2:1 ✺
09.12.24	Monza - Udinese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.24	Bologna - Monza	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Como - Monza	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Torino - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLTT
- Juventus
Coppa Italia
17.12.24	Juventus - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.24	Juventus - Venezia	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Juventus - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.24	Juventus - Bologna	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Lecce - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.05.24	Juventus - Monza	2:0
01.12.23	Monza - Juventus	1:2
29.01.23	Juventus - Monza	0:2
Coppa Italia
19.01.23	Juventus - Monza	2:1
Italian Serie A
18.09.22	Monza - Juventus	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Monza - Juventus	1:2

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