Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
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Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
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Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
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Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
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Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Monza		Juventus

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.6	1.62	Watch
	6.25	3.6	1.6
	6.3	3.65	1.6	Watch
	6.9	3.75	1.62
	7.11	3.63	1.62	Watch
	6	3.6	1.62
	6.68	3.73	1.67	Watch
	6.5	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.53 ↑ (5.13)	3.66 ↑ (3.54)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
14.7%

Draw
26.2%

Juventus
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

26.2%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	9.7%	83.9%

Monza - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (76 of 90 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.95% – 91.93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 22. Mari P. (C) 44. Carboni A. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 38. Bondo W. 42. Bianco A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 19. Birindelli S. 10. Caprari G. 47. Mota D.	29. Di Gregorio M. (G) 37. Savona N. 4. Gatti F. 15. Kalulu P. 16. McKennie W. 8. Koopmeiners T. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 11. Gonzalez N. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
84. Ciurria P. 57. Colombo L. 20. Forson O. 4. Izzo A. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 12. Sensi S.	17. Adzic V. 27. Cambiaso A. 21. Fagioli N. 51. Mbangula S. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 19. Thuram K.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Motta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, McKennie W. ⚽, Koopmeiners T. (A),
15', Pereira P. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Birindelli S. ⚽, Carboni A. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Gonzalez N. ⚽, Locatelli M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Thuram K. ↑,
57', Conceicao F. 🟨,
64', Gonzalez N. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
71', Pereira P. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
83', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Izzo A. ↑,
85', Vlahovic D. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
85', Conceicao F. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
86', Caprari G. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
86', Birindelli S. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
90+1', McKennie W. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 2.

Monza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventus is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Monza have a series of guest games.

Recently Juventus have a series of home games.

In this match Juventus is a favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Maldini D. (Yellow Cards) Pessina M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Arthur Melo (Injury) Bremer (Knee Injury) Cabal J. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Weah T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Injury) Djuric M. (Muscle Injury) Petagna A. (Injury) Vignato S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Cambiaso A. (Ankle Injury) Danilo (Ankle Injury) Douglas Luiz (Injury) Rouhi J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Monza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
15.12.24	Lecce - Monza	2:1 ✺
09.12.24	Monza - Udinese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.24	Bologna - Monza	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Como - Monza	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Torino - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLTT
- Juventus
Coppa Italia
17.12.24	Juventus - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.24	Juventus - Venezia	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Juventus - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.24	Juventus - Bologna	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Lecce - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.05.24	Juventus - Monza	2:0
01.12.23	Monza - Juventus	1:2
29.01.23	Juventus - Monza	0:2
Coppa Italia
19.01.23	Juventus - Monza	2:1
Italian Serie A
18.09.22	Monza - Juventus	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Monza - Juventus	1:2

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