Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lecce		Juventus

	1	X	2
	9	4.5	1.4	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.43
	8.8	4.45	1.41	Watch
	9.01	4.71	1.42
	8.39	4.62	1.44	Watch
	8	4.2	1.4
	8.71	4.57	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.49 ↑ (6.22)	4.51 ↑ (4.1)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
11.3%

Draw
21.2%

Juventus
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

22.5%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	7.4%	85.2%

Lecce - Juventus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Juventus (1.67) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - draw (3.55) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 20. Ramadani Y. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 29. Coulibaly L. 19. Banda L. 99. Cheddira W.	16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 8. Koopmeiners T. 7. Conceicao F. 22. McKennie W. 10. Yildiz K. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
22. Camarda F. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 16. Gandelman O. 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 80. Kovac N. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 9. Stulic N.	17. Adzic V. 13. Boga J. 30. David J. 4. Gatti F. 2. Holm E. 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 19. Thuram K. 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Vlahovic D. ⚽, Cambiaso A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ngom O. ↓, Jean G. ↑,
70', Veiga D. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
76', Cheddira W. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
76', Banda L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
77', Vlahovic D. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
80', Conceicao F. 🟨,
82', Jean G. 🟨,
83', Yildiz K. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
83', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
83', Cambiaso A. ↓, David J. ↑,
86', McKennie W. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.

Lecce has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juventus is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury) Fofana S. (Knee Injury) Gaspar K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Cabal J. (Muscle Injury) Milik A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Sottil R. (Back Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.65% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
01.05.26	Pisa - Lecce	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Verona - Lecce	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Lecce - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bologna - Lecce	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Lecce - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTTLL
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
03.05.26	Juventus - Verona	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Milan - Juventus	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Juventus - Bologna	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Juventus - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.01.26	Juventus - Lecce	1:1
12.04.25	Juventus - Lecce	2:1
01.12.24	Lecce - Juventus	1:1
21.01.24	Lecce - Juventus	0:3
26.09.23	Juventus - Lecce	1:0
03.05.23	Juventus - Lecce	2:1
29.10.22	Lecce - Juventus	0:1

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