The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mantova 37.8%
Draw 28.5%
Catanzaro 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
25.3%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
24.3%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
72.2%
5.6%
Mantova - Catanzaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 51.5% โ 92.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
DC - Mantova (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (C) 96. Maggioni T. 27. Castellini A. 29. Cella S. 4. Mullen S. 36. Paoletti F. 8. Artioli F. 21. Trimboli S. 30. Bragantini D. 9. Mancuso L. 28. Caprini M.
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. (C) 27. Favasuli C. 32. Rispoli F. 10. Petriccione J. 98. Buglio D. 77. D'Alessandro M. 80. Cisse A. 7. Pandolfi L.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 99. Bonfanti N. 18. Falletti C. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 37. Majer Z. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 53. Pittino T. 19. Ruocco F. 10. Wieser D.
30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 18. Bettella D. 17. Di Chiara G. 9. Iemmello P. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 28. Oudin R. 8. Pittarello F. 20. Pontisso S. 61. Seha S.
Coaches
Possanzini D.
Aquilani A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
58', Rispoli F. ↓, Iemmello P. ↑,
58', Buglio D. ↓, Pontisso S. ↑,
60', Trimboli S. 🟨,
62', Paoletti F. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
63', Mullen S. ↓, Pittino T. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Majer Z. (Own goal),
70', Brighenti N. 🟨,
72', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
72', Artioli F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Cisse A. ⚽, Nuamah P. (A),
78', Petriccione J. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Favasuli C. ⚽,
84', Caprini M. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
87', Pandolfi L. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
89', Matias Antonini 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).
Mantova is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Catanzaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F.
(Injury)
Frosinini R.
(Injury)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
Verrengia B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Catanzaro: Di Chiara G.
(Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Italy
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Festa M. (C) 
Mullen S. 
Matias Antonini 
Falletti C. 
Majer Z. 
Bashi E. 
Oudin R. 
Seha S. 
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