Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Monza		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	7	Watch
	1.52	3.85	6.1	Watch
	1.54	4.13	6.74
	1.55	3.99	6.03	Watch
	1.53	3.8	6
	1.54	3.86	6.29	Watch
	1.52	4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	3.92 ↓ (3.93)	6.36 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
61.3%

Draw
23.9%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.8%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Monza - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Monza (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Monza will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 50%). Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Izzo A. 15. Delli Carri F. 44. Carboni A. 47. Mota D. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 26. Ciurria P. 9. Maric M. 17. Balde K.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 6. Martini J. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 18. Tronchin S. 7. Zedadka K. 28. Kofler R. 9. Pecorino E. 79. Molina S. 33. Merkaj S. 94. El Kaouakibi H. 34. Veseli F.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 2. Brorsson A. 21. Colombo L. 23. Galazzi N. 3. Lucchesi L. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J. 43. Strajnar A. (G)	3. Bordon F. 14. Coulibaly M. 23. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 11. Italeng J. 8. Mallamo A. 4. Mancini D. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 19. Pietrangeli N. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 21. Tait F.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Martini J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Maric M. ⚽, Carboni A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
66', Martini J. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
69', Maric M. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
69', Balde K. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Odogwu R. ⚽,
81', Mota D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
81', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
81', Casiraghi D. ↓, Pietrangeli N. ↑,
87', Odogwu R. 🟨,
87', Ciurria P. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
87', Tronchin S. ↓, Masiello A. ↑,
90+2', Carboni A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2.

Monza has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Südtirol has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Monza is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Birindelli S. (Yellow Cards) Brorsson A. (Inactive) Caprari G. (Inactive) Colpani A. (Inactive) Forson O. (Knee Injury) Galazzi N. (Inactive)

We predict that Monza will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Monza - Cesena	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pescara - Monza	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Monza - Spezia	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Palermo - Monza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWWW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Avellino	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 penalties
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
15.05.19	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:3
Italian Serie C Group B
05.05.19	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	0:3
26.12.18	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
31.01.15	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
13.09.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	1:0

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