The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palermo 40.9%
Draw 29.9%
Monza 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
26.7%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
27.5%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palermo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.1%
47.4%
10.5%
Palermo - Monza Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Monza will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% โ 69.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Monza (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Monza (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
66. Joronen J. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 29. Peda P. 32. Ceccaroni P. 23. Diakite S. 6. Gomes C. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 8. Segre J. (C) 21. Le Douaron J. 20. Pohjanpalo J.
20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Izzo A. 13. Ravanelli L. 3. Lucchesi L. 19. Birindelli S. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 26. Ciurria P. 17. Balde K. 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
13. Bani M. 22. Bardi F. (G) 19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 9. Brunori M. 31. Corona G. 17. Giovane S. 1. Gomis A. (G) 15. Nicolosi E. 5. Palumbo A. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.
24. Bakoune A. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 10. Caprari G. 44. Carboni A. 28. Colpani A. 15. Delli Carri F. 23. Galazzi N. 9. Maric M. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J. 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.
Bianco P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Balde K. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Mota D. ⚽, Obiang P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Izzo A. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
55', Gomes C. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
61', Balde K. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
64', Le Douaron J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
64', Segre J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
74', Brunori M. 🟨,
74', Izzo A. 🟨,
77', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
77', Augello T. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
80', Mota D. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
80', Izzo A. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
82', Birindelli S. 🟨,
85', Birindelli S. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
85', Ciurria P. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
90+4', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 3, Azzi P. ⚽, Colpani A. (A),
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
Palermo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Monza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Palermo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Palermo: Bani M.
(Injury)
Gyasi E.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Monza: Alvarez A.
(Injury)
Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Brorsson A.
(Inactive)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Injury)
Petagna A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Monza: Carboni A.
(Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Palermo - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Joronen J. (G) 
Pierozzi N. 
Peda P. 
Diakite S. 
Gomes C. 
Thiam D. (G) 
Obiang P. 
Azzi P. 
Mota D. 
Vasic A. 
Brorsson A. 
Maric M. 
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