Match Info

Serie B - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovenia	Sport TV3


	Juve Stabia		Monza

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	3.15	2.98	2.35	Watch
	3.27	3	2.56
	3.31	2.7	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.31	3.13	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.54)	2.95 ↓ (3.52)	2.43 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
29.4%

Draw
31.9%

Monza
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

27%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

26.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Juve Stabia - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Monza will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 46. Diakite S. 33. Giorgini A. 6. Bellich M. (C) 2. Ricciardi M. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 90. Okoro A.	20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Ravanelli L. 44. Carboni A. 3. Lucchesi L. 19. Birindelli S. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 8. Hernani 47. Mota D. 10. Cutrone P.
Substitutes
23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 27. Candellone L. 24. Carissoni L. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 37. Maistro F. 76. Mannini M. 10. Pierobon C. 28. Torrasi E. 13. Varnier M. 8. Zeroli K.	25. Alvarez A. 6. Antov V. 24. Bakoune A. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 30. Caso G. 26. Ciurria P. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 15. Delli Carri F. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)
Coaches
Abate I.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
45+1', Mosti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 0, Mosti N. ⚽, Cacciamani A. (A),
61', Cutrone P. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
62', Azzi P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
67', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
67', Mosti N. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Okoro A. ⚽, Cacciamani A. (A),
74', Ravanelli L. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
74', Mota D. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
74', Okoro A. ↓, Candellone L. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Carboni A. ⚽, Petagna A. (A),
82', Ricciardi M. ↓, Carissoni L. ↑,
84', Pierobon C. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Delli Carri F. ⚽, Hernani (A),
90+4', Bakoune A. 🟨,
90+5', Diakite S. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by Juve Stabia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Leone G. (Injury) Mosti N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Azzi P. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Juve Stabia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
12.05.26	Modena - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Juve Stabia - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pescara - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLTT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
08.05.26	Monza - Empoli	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Mantova - Monza	3:2 ✺
24.04.26	Monza - Modena	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Sampdoria - Monza	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Monza - Bari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2

Upcoming Matches