The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monza 50.2%
Draw 27.6%
Ternana 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
27.7%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
18.8%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monza - Ternana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Monza has the most likely position - 2 (14.1%), has project points - 64, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
Ternana has the most likely position - 20 (13.45%), has project points - 40, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Monza is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.