Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Reggina		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.72	3.6	4.65
	1.8	3.35	4.4
	1.81	3.57	5.05
	1.78	3.4	4.6
	1.76	3.58	4.7	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	4.6 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
52.7%

Draw
26.9%

Ternana
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggina's performance.

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Reggina - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 3 (17.99%), has project points - 61, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Ternana has the most likely position - 8 (8.29%), has project points - 52, has currently - 29, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 37, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Reggio Calabria is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
14.01.23	Reggina - SPAL	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Ascoli - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.12.22	Reggina - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
17.12.22	Reggina - Bari	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Como - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTW
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.01.23	Ternana - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
26.12.22	Frosinone - Ternana	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Ternana - Como	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	0:0 ✺
07.12.22	Ternana - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.08.22	Ternana - Reggina	1:0
05.02.22	Ternana - Reggina	2:0
29.08.21	Reggina - Ternana	3:2
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.20	Reggina - Ternana	1:0
25.09.19	Ternana - Reggina	1:1
Italian Serie B
30.05.14	Reggina - Ternana	1:2
29.12.13	Ternana - Reggina	2:1

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