Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Moquegua		Juan Pablo II College

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.8	Watch
	1.96	3.49	3.84
	1.87	3.59	4	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.7
	1.92	3.53	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	3.81 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
48.7%

Draw
26.8%

Juan Pablo II College
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moquegua's performance.

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moquegua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Moquegua - Juan Pablo II College Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Moquegua will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moquegua: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 22. Montenegro E. 30. Granda J. 3. Enciso C. 15. Amasifuen N. 10. Chavez N. (C) 25. Chipao R. 7. Lastre E. 8. Mejia C. 17. Zapata Y. 11. Bryan Angulo	23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 6. Fuentes P. 3. Sanchez A. 26. Agurto F. 28. Duran J. (C) 10. Cueva C. 18. Ramirez E. 11. Aliaga R. 29. Tizon C. 39. Juambeltz M.
Substitutes
90. Collazos J. 16. Davila A. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 13. Lojas J. 28. Lopez J. 4. Perleche A. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Ramirez D. 88. Torres R.	16. Anton P. 80. Barreto J. 20. Bazan H. 30. Canova J. 8. Flores C. 7. Henricks A. 24. Iriarte I. 22. Peralta M. 12. Quispe I. (G)
Coaches
Serna J.	Zuleta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Chipao R. 🟨,
23', Fuentes P. 🟥,
28', Bryan Angulo ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
41', Montenegro E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Montenegro E. ↓, Perleche A. ↑,
46', Chipao R. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Collazos J. ⚽, Lastre E. (A),
55', 2 - 0, Lastre E. ⚽, Amasifuen N. (A),
62', Toledo J. ↓, Iriarte I. ↑,
62', Aliaga R. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Collazos J. ⚽, Lastre E. (A),
77', Tizon C. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
77', Juambeltz M. ↓, Bazan H. ↑,
77', Agurto F. ↓, Anton P. ↑,
80', Lastre E. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
86', Mejia C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
88', Cueva C. 🟨,
89', Chavez N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There are questionable in Moquegua: Mejia C. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Juan Pablo II	11	5	4	2	21:13	8	19
16	Moquegua	11	1	4	6	7:19	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Moquegua	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Moquegua - Cusco	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Moquegua	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Moquegua - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sport Boys - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WLLWT
- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alianza Lima - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLLWW

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