Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sporting Cristal		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	12	Watch
	1.22	5.2	15	Watch
	1.25	5.66	10.72
	1.22	5.96	13.32	Watch
	1.22	5	13
	1.25	5.14	14.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.37)	5.29 ↑ (4.32)	13.02 ↑ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
75.3%

Draw
17.6%

Moquegua
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21.2%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.3%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Cristal's performance.

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Sporting Cristal - Moquegua Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Sporting Cristal (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 96. Abram L. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 55. Cazonatti G. 25. Tavara M. 26. Wisdom I. 16. Iberico L. 11. Avila I. (C) 23. Castro M.	1. Grados C. (G) 22. Montenegro E. 3. Enciso C. 30. Granda J. 15. Amasifuen N. 8. Mejia C. 25. Chipao R. 7. Lastre E. 10. Chavez N. (C) 17. Zapata Y. 90. Collazos J.
Substitutes
33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 42. Burga J. 44. Castillo G. 34. del Valle Y. 18. Gonzalez J. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 97. Rodriguez M. 9. Vizeu F.	16. Davila A. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 13. Lojas J. 28. Lopez J. 9. Negron M. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Ramirez D. 5. Rivera B. 88. Torres R.
Coaches
Ze Ricardo	Serna J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Lastre E. ⚽, Chipao R. (A),
17', Enciso C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Mejia C. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Tavara M. ↓, Castillo G. ↑,
58', Iberico L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
62', Amasifuen N. 🟨,
72', Lastre E. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
72', Cristiano ↓, del Valle Y. ↑,
72', Avila I. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
76', Mejia C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
83', Wisdom I. ↓, Burga J. ↑,
83', Chipao R. ↓, Lojas J. ↑,
84', Collazos J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
85', Cazonatti G. 🟨,
87', Zapata Y. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel (Injury) Gonzales C. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19
16	Moquegua	11	1	4	6	7:19	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
21.03.26	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Carabobo	2:2 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
07.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.03.26	Carabobo - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
21.03.26	Moquegua - Cusco	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Moquegua	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Moquegua - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sport Boys - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWTW

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