Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)

Referee: Mendez R. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Moquegua		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.88	2.55	Watch
	3.2	3	2.1
	2.9	3.1	2.48	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.53
	3.45	3.02	2.26	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	2.97	3	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.69)	3 ↓ (3.11)	2.41 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
30.8%

Draw
30.8%

Cusco
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moquegua's performance.

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cusco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moquegua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cusco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moquegua - Cusco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 30. Granda J. 15. Amasifuen N. 8. Mejia C. 25. Chipao R. 20. Ramirez D. 17. Zapata Y. 90. Collazos J. 16. Davila A.	28. Diaz P. (G) 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 15. Bolivar J. 24. Ruidias M. 16. Valenzuela O. 11. Tevez J. (C) 88. Soto D. 14. Diez C. 7. Manzaneda J. 27. Carabajal G.
Substitutes
11. Bryan Angulo 10. Chavez N. 3. Enciso C. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 6. Jimenez J. 7. Lastre E. 22. Montenegro E. 9. Negron M. 14. Ramirez C.	17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 32. Astudillo J. 9. Callejo F. 37. Choi G. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 30. Quillahuaman S. 13. Vidal A. (G) 21. Zevallos J.
Coaches
Serna J.	Rondelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽, Manzaneda J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Perleche A. ↓, Montenegro E. ↑,
49', Fuentes A. 🟨,
57', Ramirez D. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
57', Lojas J. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
59', Chipao R. 🟨,
62', Diaz P. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Lastre E. ⚽,
66', Granda J. 🟨,
83', Diez C. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
83', Tevez J. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
85', Soto D. 🟨,
87', Zapata Y. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
90+2', Davila A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cusco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18
16	Moquegua	11	1	4	6	7:19	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Moquegua	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Moquegua - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sport Boys - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	FBC Melgar - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWTWL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Cajamarca - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL

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