The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moquegua 23.8%
Draw 26.8%
Sporting Cristal 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
27.7%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
26.8%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Moquegua - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 15. Amasifuen N. 7. Lastre E. 8. Mejia C. 25. Chipao R. 16. Davila A. 17. Zapata Y. 11. Bryan Angulo
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 6. Alvarez Wallace A. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 16. Iberico L. 23. Castro M. 22. Hoyos M.
Substitutes
10. Chavez N. 90. Collazos J. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 88. Lopez Y. 22. Montenegro E. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Ramirez D. 35. Santillan Vargas E. M.
11. Avila I. 33. Bautista C. (G) 21. Cabellos C. 77. Cuesta J. 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 25. Tavara M. 4. Villacorta A.
Coaches
Serna J.
Mosquera R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
15', Bryan Angulo (Penalty Awarded),
21', 1 - 1, Chipao R. ⚽, Lastre E. (A),
35', 1 - 2, Araujo M. ⚽, Gonzalez S. (A),
42', Cristiano 🟨,
45+3', Iberico L. 🟨,
45+3', Mejia C. 🟨,
45+3', Lojas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bryan Angulo ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
46', Davila A. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
51', Enciso C. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
62', Hoyos M. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
73', Iberico L. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
77', Lojas J. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
83', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
83', Castro M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
83', Sosa L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
83', Chipao R. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
83', Zapata Y. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
90+2', Avila I. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).
Recent form of Moquegua has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sporting Cristal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Sporting Cristal is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Moquegua: Ruiz K.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.