Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)

Referee: Huaman D. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Moquegua		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.8	Watch
	2.35	2.90	2.85
	2.6	2.95	2.8	Watch
	2.74	2.95	2.95
	2.66	2.81	3.01	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.9
	2.58	3.04	2.83	Watch
	2.49	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)	2.91 ↓ (3.02)	2.87 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
35.9%

Draw
31.9%

Sport Boys
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Moquegua - Sport Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 22. Montenegro E. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 4. Perleche A. 25. Chipao R. 8. Mejia C. 7. Lastre E. 24. Lecaros A. 17. Zapata Y. 11. Bryan Angulo	22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 8. Da Campo N. 32. Erustes P. 10. Alarcon J. 11. Urruti L. 30. Liza P.
Substitutes
10. Chavez N. 90. Collazos J. 16. Davila A. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 9. Negron M. 14. Ramirez C. 35. Santillan Vargas E. M.	4. Alfani R. 77. Celi Y. 99. Cueva C. 14. Diaz R. 55. Dulanto G. 28. Gonzales E. 5. Illanes F. 61. Nolasco J. (G) 47. Trauco M.
Coaches
Serna J.	Desio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bryan Angulo ⚽, Zapata Y. (A),
36', Lecaros A. 🟨,
39', Lojas J. 🟨,
42', Desio C. 🟨,
45', Bryan Angulo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Liza P. ⚽, Alarcon J. (A),
48', Urruti L. 🟨,
54', Liza P. 🟨,
54', Chipao R. 🟨,
59', Lecaros A. ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
69', Bryan Angulo ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
70', Alarcon J. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
70', Urruti L. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
78', Liza P. 🟨,
80', Chipao R. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
83', Serna J. 🟨,
90+2', Erustes P. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
90+2', Ramirez C. 🟨,
90+5', Mora O. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
90+6', Riojas H. 🟨,

Preview

Moquegua has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sport Boys is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sport Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sport Boys: Solis L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moquegua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
16	Moquegua	11	1	4	6	7:19	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
09.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Moquegua - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Cajamarca - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Moquegua - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
12.07.26	Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTTTW
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
08.08.26	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sport Boys - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Los Chankas - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
10.07.26	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.02.26	Sport Boys - Moquegua	0:0

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