The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 46.5%
Draw 27.9%
Morecambe 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
26.8%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
24.4%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Morecambe aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Gillingham - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 15. Smith A. 5. Ehmer M. 30. Gale S. 2. Hutton R. 14. McKenzie R. 8. Little A. (C) 3. Clark M. 20. Nevitt E. 29. Gbode J. 12. Hawkins O.
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 5. Taylor M. 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 8. Macadam H. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 20. Cooke C. 19. Dackers M. 16. Dallas A. 10. Angol L.
Substitutes
17. Clarke J. 23. Dack B. 16. Khumbeni N. 4. Masterson C. 19. Morgan J. 7. Nolan J. 25. Turner J. (G)
7. Edwards G. 33. Garner G. 3. Lewis A. 17. Lewis P. 22. Millen R. 11. Slew J. 4. White T.
Coaches
Coleman J.
Adams D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Hawkins O. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
63', Dallas A. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
69', Gbode J. 🟨,
70', Tutonda D. 🟨,
72', Hendrie L. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, McKenzie R. ⚽,
80', Cooke C. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
86', Nevitt E. 🟨,
87', Angol L. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
87', Tutonda D. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
87', Hendrie L. ↓, Millen R. ↑,
88', Gbode J. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
90+3', Morgan J. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 4.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J.
(Inactive)
Coleman E.
(Calf Injury)
Masterson C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Morecambe: Jones C.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
Williams R.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Agbinone A.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Hope H.
(Inactive)
Millen R.
(Inactive)
Ray G.
(Inactive)
Slew J.
(Inactive)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.5:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Morecambe - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.