Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 13

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)


	Morecambe		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.4
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.27	3.52	3.21
	2.28	3.52	3.21
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.17	3.58	3.08	Watch
	2.07	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)	3.5 (3.5)	3.14 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
43%

Draw
27%

Crawley Town
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Morecambe - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Morecambe: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mair A. (G) 12. Senior J. 5. Rawson F. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 23. Melbourne M. 38. Khumbeni N. 6. Songo'o Y. 11. Larsson J. 8. Adams J. 20. Brown C. 9. Garner G.	1. Addai C. (G) 5. Ransom H. 3. Conroy D. (C) 30. Wright W. 2. Gordon K. 26. Williams J. 8. Lolos K. 19. Kelly J. 10. Darcy R. 14. Forster H. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.
Substitutes
16. Davenport J. 19. Edwards G. 39. Hiwula J. 14. Slew J. 21. Smith A. (G) 15. Stokes Ch. 3. Tutonda D.	22. Adeyemo A. 28. Campbell A. 27. Khaleel R. 20. Mukena J. 11. Roles J. 13. Sandford R. (G) 25. Tsaroulla N.
Coaches
Brannan G.	Lindsey S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.

Morecambe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Crawley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League Two
02.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Morecambe - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Walsall - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTLTW
- Crawley Town
English League Two
24.02.24	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	AFC Wimbledon - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.02.24	Crawley Town - Morecambe	1:2
02.03.21	Morecambe - Crawley Town	3:1
17.10.20	Crawley Town - Morecambe	4:0
16.11.19	Crawley Town - Morecambe	1:1
30.03.19	Morecambe - Crawley Town	1:0
15.09.18	Crawley Town - Morecambe	2:0
10.03.18	Crawley Town - Morecambe	1:1

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