The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 36.3%
Draw 27.8%
Grimsby Town 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
27.7%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
27.1%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Morecambe - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 3. Lewis A. 17. Lewis P. 4. White T. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 11. Slew J. 19. Dackers M.
1. Wright J. (G) 2. Cass L. 5. Rodgers H. 17. McJannett C. 33. Hume D. 6. Thompson C. 8. Luker J. 4. Green K. (C) 20. McEachran G. 11. Svanthorsson J. 9. Obikwu J.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 9. Hope H. 28. Jones C. 22. Millen R. 25. Moore S. (G) 24. Songo'o Y. 23. Tutonda D.
16. Ainley C. 41. Auton S. (G) 14. Barrington L. 7. Davies J. 30. Khouri E. 32. Rose D. 24. Tharme D.
Coaches
Adams D.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Lewis P. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Obikwu J. ⚽, Green K. (A),
28', Thompson C. 🟨,
32', Williams R. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Obikwu J. ⚽, Green K. (A),
45+1', White T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lewis P. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
46', Slew J. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
46', White T. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
61', Obikwu J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
65', Rodgers H. 🟨,
78', Hendrie L. ↓, Millen R. ↑,
79', Macadam H. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
81', Rose D. 🟨,
85', McEachran G. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
85', Thompson C. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
85', Svanthorsson J. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
88', Brown C. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Rose D. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
90+3', Luker J. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Grimsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).