Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.9
	2.37	3.4	2.8
	2.4	3.5	2.8
	2.29	3.5	2.86
	2.48	3.47	2.93
	2.3	3.6	2.7
	2.38	3.48	2.8	Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.03)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	2.83 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
39.8%

Draw
27%

Forest Green Rovers
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.1%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forest Green Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Forest Green will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Addai C. (G) 30. Wright W. 3. Conroy D. 5. Ransom H. 25. Tsaroulla N. 26. Williams J. 4. Kelly L. 19. Kelly J. 28. Campbell A. 10. Darcy R. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.	39. Reyes V. (G) 5. Inniss R. 36. Keogh R. 17. Robson J. 25. Dabo F. 8. McCann C. 46. Osadebe E. 16. Thompson D. 9. Stevens M. 7. McAllister K. 10. Doidge C.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 14. Forster H. 2. Gordon K. 8. Lolos K. 20. Mukena J. 11. Roles J. 13. Sandford R. (G)	3. Bernard D. 27. Bunker H. 4. Johnson D. 28. Jones C. 23. Omotoye T. 22. Oyedele M. 20. Searle J. (G)
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Cotterill S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2.

Crawley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
13.02.24	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Crawley Town - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
23.01.24	Peterborough United - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
13.01.24	Crawley Town - Salford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
13.02.24	Barrow - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
27.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Gillingham - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	2:1
26.02.22	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
21.08.21	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	6:3
24.04.21	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
29.12.20	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	1:2
04.01.20	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
05.10.19	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	3:1

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