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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 51.8%
Draw 25.9%
Crawley Town 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
27%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.8%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.7%
5.3%
0%
Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crewe Alexandra will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 26. O'Reilly T. 19. Lunt O. 6. Sanders M. H. 8. Thomas C. 20. Anderton N. 24. March J.
1. Davies H. (G) 5. Barker C. 6. Anderson M. 28. Flint J. 13. McKirdy H. 10. Brown R. 26. Williams J. (C) 14. Flower L. 22. Adeyemo A. 9. Tshimanga K. 20. Mukena J.
Substitutes
22. Croker P. 14. Finney C. 16. Golding J. 23. Powell J. 36. Tezgel E. 29. Thibaut A. 13. Waller S. (G)
18. Cashman D. 24. Dixon K. 23. Kotey F. 25. Papadopoulos A. 15. Radcliffe B. 11. Roles J. 27. Watson L.
Coaches
Bell L.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Bell L. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, O'Reilly T. ⚽, March J. (A),
45+2', Connolly J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Flower L. ↓, Cashman D. ↑,
64', Brown R. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
64', McKirdy H. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
67', Williams J. 🟨,
71', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
73', Anderson M. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
73', Agius C. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
82', March J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
85', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
85', Roles J. 🟨,
88', Lunt O. 🟨,
90', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crawley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Crewe is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
Watch
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Booth T. (G) 
Connolly J. 
Anderson M. 
Williams J. (C) 
Golding J. 
Dixon K. 
Roles J. 
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