The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 54.5%
Draw 26.5%
Morecambe 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
26.1%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
24.5%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Colchester United - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 18. Egbo M. 4. Kelleher F. 6. Flanagan T. (C) 3. Iandolo E. 7. Anderson H. 15. McDonnell J. 10. Payne J. 8. Bishop T. 21. Edwards O. 17. Simpson T.
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 20. Cooke C. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 3. Lewis A. 4. White T. 7. Edwards G. 10. Angol L.
Substitutes
11. Gordon J. 16. Read A. 12. Smith T. (G) 33. Taylor L. 40. Terry F. 31. Thorn O. 22. Tucker J.
19. Dackers M. 28. Jones C. 8. Macadam H. 12. Schofield R. (G) 11. Slew J. 5. Taylor M. 18. Tollitt B.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Adams D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Bishop T. 🟨,
34', Hendrie L. 🟨,
37', Tutonda D. 🟨,
45+2', Angol L. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Kelleher F. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
56', Anderson H. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Egbo M. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
71', Cooke C. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
74', Simpson T. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
77', Lewis A. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
78', Songo'o Y. ↓, Macadam H. ↑,
78', White T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
78', Edwards G. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
87', Bishop T. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
87', Edwards O. ↓, Read A. ↑,
90+1', Thorn O. 🟨,
90+5', Taylor L. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
Colchester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Colchester have a series of guest games.
In this match Colchester is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:16 (average 0.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
Watch
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Macey M. (G) 
Kelleher F. 
Flanagan T. (C) 
Tutonda D. 
Songo'o Y. (C) 
Edwards G. 
Taylor L. 
Adams D. 
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