The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 55.1%
Draw 26.2%
Carlisle United 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
26.3%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
25.6%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
7.1%
21.4%
Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 11. Broom R. 15. Bennett R. 5. Bolton J. 25. Potter F. 6. Bonds E. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 4. Wiredu B. (C) 17. Helm M. 19. Coughlan R. 44. Patterson P.
13. Breeze G. (G) 5. Lavelle S. (C) 14. Dummett P. 22. McArthur C. 24. Williams J. 42. Patching W. 43. Whelan C. 11. Jones J. 40. Harris K. 20. Scott C. 17. Hugill J.
Substitutes
9. Harratt K. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 16. Hunt M. 10. Mayor D. 20. Neal H. 26. Rooney S.
18. Ellis J. 44. Embleton E. 45. Fusire S. 3. Harper C. 1. Lewis H. (G) 7. Robson E. 4. Thomas T.
Coaches
Wild P.
Williamson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Dummett P. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
18', Wiredu B. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Scott C. ⚽, Harris K. (A),
23', Patching W. 🟨,
44', Potter F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Potter F. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
56', Bennett R. 🟨,
62', Patching W. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
62', Scott C. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
64', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
65', Broom R. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Coughlan R. ⚽, Harratt K. (A),
73', Bennett R. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
73', Coughlan R. ↓, Mayor D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Lavelle S. ⚽,
87', Williams J. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
88', Hugill J. 🟨,
90+2', Breeze G. 🟨,
90+2', Rooney S. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2.
Fleetwood is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carlisle is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fleetwood is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
Watch
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Lynch J. (G) 
Broom R. 
Bonds E. 
Coughlan R. 
Patterson P. 
Jones J. 
Hunt M. 
Thomas T. 
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